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The Importance of Maintaining a Bond Portfolio in a Community Bank Balance Sheet

Managing a community bank’s balance sheet is like taking care of a home: it requires ongoing maintenance, thoughtful planning, and proactive decisions to preserve its value and ensure long term sustainability. Just as a well-maintained house stands strong through storms and shifting seasons, a carefully tended bond portfolio anchors a community bank’s balance sheet against economic turbulence. For community banks, certain bonds are more than just a safe haven; they’re a critical tool for stabilizing income, managing risk, and preserving margins. Today, with the 5-year Treasury yield hovering at its highest average level in seventeen years, banks have a unique opportunity to "renovate" their portfolios, ensuring resilience for years to come.

Think of a bond portfolio as the foundation of a house. Neglect it, and cracks appear—margins erode, and vulnerabilities emerge. Maintain it, and it provides steady support. Right now, the 5-year Treasury yield offers a golden window for reinforcement. This part of the yield curve is often viewed as a good proxy for bank portfolios, considering their average lives tend to be around five years. As of February 24, 2025, this yield has averaged around 4.20% over the past year, a peak not seen consistently since 2007. Historical data over the last twenty years reveals this moment’s rarity. From 2005 to 2007, yields fluctuated between 4% and 5%, but the post-financial crisis era slashed them to historic lows, averaging below 2% from 2011 to 2021. This is not suggesting yields are going to drop in similar dramatic fashion. However, as risk managers, we must anticipate such an occurrence. Today’s rates signal a return to robust performance—a chance to remodel the portfolio before rates potentially decline again.

 

Am I suggesting we prioritize bonds over loans? Certainly not! At community banks, loans will be and should be the primary vehicles used to serve the local economy, businesses, and households. However, when loan demand is strong there is a tendency to ignore the bond portfolio. During these times, loans can be like the exciting new addition to your house—lucrative when times are good, but prone to leaks (refinancing or defaults) when rates drop or the economy falters. In low-rate environments, borrowers refinance at lower costs, shrinking bank margins, or worse, default during downturns, leaving banks exposed. Bonds, especially those with predictable cash flows and structure, offer a stable yield vehicle to complement the loan portfolio. Selective bonds with specified collateral tend to not refinance unpredictably or default; they pay reliably, providing a buffer against loan volatility. This stability is a lifeline for community banks aiming to protect their net interest margins.

To seize this opportunity, banks should adopt or simply maintain a dollar-cost averaging strategy—steadily investing in these elevated yields over time. Just as you wouldn’t renovate your entire house in one frantic weekend, don’t chase the market in a single leap. By spreading purchases across months, banks lock in today’s high yields, building a portfolio that thrives even if rates fall. Make no mistake, market yield volatility is a daily reality we’re currently experiencing with political climate changes and global economic uncertainty. So, during this time, remember that remodeling is messy from day to day and stay focused on the long-term benefits. Consider this: a 4.50% yield today could be the cushion our margins need if future yield environments are significantly lower, as they have been in past cycles.

Call to Action: Find ways to participate and don’t miss this market opportunity

The graph above underscores the urgency—yields haven’t been this high since before the Great Recession. Missing this market is like letting your house decay until the roof caves in. Community banks must act now, reinforcing their bond portfolios to weather future storms. With market yields at almost two decades high on average, this isn’t just maintenance—it’s a strategic upgrade. Don’t wait for the next downturn to regret a crumbling foundation. Invest now, dollar by dollar, and build a balance sheet that stands firm.

The Baker Group is one of the nation’s largest independently owned securities firms specializing in investment portfolio management for community financial institutions.

Since 1979, we’ve helped our clients improve decision-making, manage interest rate risk, and maximize investment portfolio performance. Our proven approach of total resource integration utilizes software and products developed by Baker’s Software Solutions* combined with the firm’s investment experience and advice.

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Author

John Bloss
Managing Partner
The Baker Group LP
800.937.2257

*The Baker Group LP is the sole authorized distributor for the products and services developed and provided by The Baker Group Software Solutions, Inc.

INTENDED FOR USE BY INSTITUTIONAL INVESTORS ONLY. Any data provided herein is for informational purposes only and is intended solely for the private use of the reader. Although information contained herein is believed to be from reliable sources, The Baker Group LP does not guarantee its completeness or accuracy. Opinions constitute our judgment and are subject to change without notice. The instruments and strategies discussed here may fluctuate in price or value and may not be suitable for all investors; any doubt should be discussed with a Baker representative. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Changes in rates may have an adverse effect on the value of investments. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instruments.