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The Market At 2010-02-08 15:55:09 ET
10-Year: 3.581 -04/32   GNMAs:    EUR/USD: 1.3672   USD/JPY: 89.3620

(12:03) Going nowhere slowly

(10:04) Ticking lower but still very, very quiet

(9:05) Tripping lower in very quiet trade

(8:17) Trimming losses into open

Auction $23B 3-mos and $26B 6-mos


Lightly Lower: Treasuries limped through the session with little in the way of market moving information and a cautious, corrective trade keeping action in check while the mid-curve sagged. Supply and Fed-speak are holding players back, with many sidelined and keeping out of the lightly traded session. There is a batch of relevant events in the belly of the week with the auctions and the Bernanke testimony on "exit strategies" landing in the middle. The refunding starts tomorrow with the $40B 3-yrs hitting, followed by $25B 10-yrs Wednesday (also Bernanke day) and the $19B 30-yrs go Thursday. The market will likely remain within established ranges through to Tuesday, although they may lose further ground as the market makes room for the instruments coming up on offer through the week, but the ongoing worries over European problems should keep a floor under things. The curve ground its way a touch steeper from early in the session, ticking back to trade 280 on the 2-10-yr yield spread. The dollar slid some with the index holing up near 80.25 while the euro couldn't hold over 1.37 and was knocked back to 1.3670. The yen was listlessly lower on the buck and the euro but fairly flat most of the day. Tomorrow has just the minor wholesale inventories (10), expected to drop. Trade will be watching the 3-yr auction, which will follow the $24B 4-wks, and should go off decently. NY Fed's Dudley will speak late tonight (19) but there should be minimal headlines.


The Interest Rate Outlook

Last Updated: 2010-02-05, 16:00:16 ET

Too Legit to Commit?
The Federal Open Market Committee met this week, as all around global drama unfolded, Treasury official's (and former Fedsters) were grilled by lawmakers, and the market continued to mind its own business and trade wherever it felt like trading. All the while pundits and assorted talking heads felt it necessary to shout from the roof-tops and pound the "Politicized Fed"...
Last Updated: 2010-02-01, 08:55:24 ET

Week in Review
Treasuries ended the week on a positive note with prices on the long bond running up hard Friday after a back-and-forth run that took the 10-year yield on a comparatively restrained 13.4 basis point run, while the 2-and-5-years got about a 17bps ride. There, as per usual, were many, many moving parts involved, with the Greek tragedy providing ongoing (not to mention infectious)...

Date ET Release For Actual Briefing.com Consensus Prior
Feb 0910:00:00Wholesale InventoriesDec-0.3%0.5%1.5%
Feb 1014:00:00Treasury BudgetJan-$46.0B-$50.0B-$91.9B
Feb 1008:30:00Trade BalanceDec-$32.0B-$35.5B-$36.4B
Feb 1010:30:00Crude Inventories2/5NANA2.32M
Feb 1108:30:00Initial Claims02/06475k465k480k
Feb 1108:30:01Continuing Claims1/304550k4590k4602k
Feb 1108:30:02Retail SalesJan-0.1%0.5%-0.3%