In the last forty-five days, the yield on the 10yr T-Note has traded in a 100bps range, from a low of 2.51% to a high…
Financial markets are very good at discounting future events. The anticipatory pricing-in of expected future Fed policy changes, for example, is already baked in the…
It was a hot midsummer week, actually and metaphorically. Temperatures were about as high as expected, but inflation rates were even higher. Consumer prices over…
This shortened post-holiday week began with signs of a hawkish Fed, underscored by minutes from the June FOMC meeting and comments from two policymakers who…
Don’t look now, but the bond market has rallied like a monster in the last two weeks. After reaching 3.50%, the highest level in eleven…
As we approach the mid-point of the year, all eyes have been focused on the Fed and their “expeditious” determination to stamp out inflation. An…
As the first week of summer began, Federal Reserve Vice-Chair Lael Brainard stuck to the script on aggressive monetary policy by clarifying her support for…
Most financial markets got clobbered again this week as Fed Chairman Powell reiterated the Fed’s intention to raise interest rates as much as is necessary…
Here in the great plains, the month of May is traditionally considered “storm season” when the likelihood of tornados and severe weather is at its…
On the first trading day of 2022 the US 10yr Treasury Note yield jumped above 1.60%, then traded up another 10bps in the two subsequent…
The narrative for the US economy has shifted as we move into the second half of this year. Not long ago, financial markets were saturated…
The Fear There is growing concern that the trillions of dollars of stimulus created by governments and central banks to fight the economic fallout of…